Consumer DNA testing remains a booming diligence , but new research bring out Monday suggests that it has a rank flaw in its prognostic baron . The determination suggest that a common method acting of examination used by many company is awful at right identifying rare inherited mutations that could raise the likelihood of wellness problems like cancer . As a result , many users could be at peril of a false health scare .

Researchers at the University of Exeter in the UK looked into a testing method that relies on single nucleotide polymorphisms , or SNPs . SNP are an individual variance of a unmarried nucleotide ( the basic building cylinder block of DNA and RNA ) along the genome . Scientists have developed chips that can test for lots of single nucleotide polymorphism at once , which company normally use as markers to pin down a person ’s recent ancestry as well as their likeliness of having certain trait or developing certain diseases .

These petite change are the most common type of genetic variation a person can have , with over 300 million SNPs discovered to engagement . But some SNPs are far rarer than others . And according to the source of this raw study , published Monday in the BMJ , these chips are n’t so hot at describe the rarer SNP .

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Image: Mohamed Abdiwahab (Getty Images)

The researchers dissect data from theUK BioBank , a research project that ’s collected inherited information from over a half million residents in hoping of dependable understanding public wellness . Some 50,000 participant in the project have both gotten SNP testing and their intact genome sequenced , allowing the researchers to have a baseline to compare the former ’s accuracy against . They also compare data from thePersonal Genome Project , originally found at Harvard University , from 21 volunteers who had SNP examination and their genome sequenced through a commercial troupe .

When it came to spotting oftentimes appearing genetic variants , the chips did a great job , with over 99 % accuracy when play off to the sequence information . But the rarer the SNP they were supposed to look for , the worse they performed at confirm it was really there . For variants that are thought to seem in few than one out of every 100,000 people ( 0.001 % ) , the medium untrue - positive pace for these mental test was 84 % , think that it correctly identify the variant survive only 16 % of the time . And in 20 out of the 21 volunteers from the Personal Genome Project , the researchers observe at least one false - positive result .

“ While SNP microprocessor chip are excellent at observe rough-cut gene variants , they were not designed to prove rare variants and it was well known in the genetics enquiry community that they were not the correct tool for this purpose , ” aged study author Caroline Wright , a geneticist and prof in genomic medicine at the University of Exeter , say Gizmodo via e-mail . According to the research worker , though , theirs is the first study to try out estimating this lack of truth against the gilded standard of whole genome sequencing .

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https://gizmodo.com/consumer-dna-testing-may-be-the-biggest-health-scam-of-1839358522

The team ’s research does n’t single out a specific troupe . But they said they have seen a farm trend of company using these SNP chips to test for disease - causing rarified mutation , include those associated with bosom malignant neoplastic disease . And , unsurprisingly , there have beencasereportsof consumers who erroneously conceive they were specify to develop Cancer the Crab or other serious rarified disorders based on their results .

“ We did not front at any special company , but this will be an issue most companies that offer lineal - to - consumer deoxyribonucleic acid examination will necessitate to consider , as most of them use SNP chipping applied science , ” co - source Leigh Jackson , a reader in genomic medical specialty at Exeter , said in an email .

Argentina’s President Javier Milei (left) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., holding a chainsaw in a photo posted to Kennedy’s X account on May 27. 2025.

There are safeguards that can be used against possible false positive involve rarified stochastic variable , such as doubly - checking the consequence with a more precise trial . But it ’s easy for customers to stop up getting fooled if they upload their data to certain third - company sites .

“ Although some consumer genomics companies do sequencing to validate important answer before release them to consumer , most consumers also download their ‘ bare-assed ’ SNP silicon chip datum for secondary analysis , and this naked data still contain these faulty results , ” Jackson noted .

https://gizmodo.com/your-genes-suck-at-predicting-your-health-study-finds-1840541244

William Duplessie

Otherresearchhas establish SNP in worldwide are n’t that great at predicting people ’s next health , even when many perhaps predictive marker are combined into a single risk of exposure musical score . One reason is because most wellness trouble are act upon a set more by than our genetics . If SNP - based tests are also bad at betoken the sort of disease often triggered by rarefied genetical variants , that should further settle their note value as lot tellers for our health , at least when used by themselves .

“ Our research shows that , where rare genetic variants are detected , the effect are more likely to be wrong than right , and no clinical activity should be take without the results being swan by other substance , ” Jackson say .

Biologygenetic testingGeneticsGenomicsMolecular biology

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